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Hpathy Ezine - Jan., 2004

Myths About Flu This Season

-- Barbara M.

 

Only a few shopping days left until Christmas and instead of lining up at crowded stores to purchase those last minute gifts we are lining up in our doctors offices to purchase what is left of the flu vaccine. Instead of rolling up our sleeves to bake some holiday cookies we are rolling up our sleeves to get the shot. The media has managed to convince most of us that the flu this year is going to kill us all if we are not vaccinated. We hear the dire warning that this is going to be the deadliest flu season yet. Every sniffle, cough, and sneeze from our children has us in a panic and rushing off to the ER.

Once again the media has used its might to distort the facts and spread its propaganda. In fact, the death rate for flu related deaths this season is actually less than the previous 4 years during the same time frame. According to the CDC’s mortality reporting system, a system based on the total number of deaths reported by the vital statistics offices of 122 U.S. cities, the percentages of deaths due to influenza or pneumonia this season has remained below epidemic levels so far. The same cannot be said for the 1999-2000 season whereby this time there were 9 weeks that exceeded epidemic levels. The CDC reports that we currently have had zero weeks that reach or exceed epidemic levels. When the media refers to this flu season as an epidemic it is factually incorrect. Below is the percentage of deaths from influenza and pneumonia for weeks 40 to 49 (our current week) for this and the past four years. Compare the numbers and you will see the deaths for this year are not extreme. This information is taken directly from the CDC statistical reports. This is public information and can be accessed at www.cdc.gov.

 
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
 
Week 49
7.0%
7.1%
6.7%
7.2%
7.1%
Week 48
6.5%
7.1%
6.4%
7.2%
6.7%
Week 47
6.4%
7.1%
6.1%
6.5%
7.0%
Week 46
6.1%
6.8%
6.6%
6.6%
6.4%
Week 45
6.2%
6.5%
6.7%
6.5%
6.6%
Week 44
6.3%
6.7%
6.5%
6.3%
7.4%
Week 43
6.1%
--
--
6.8%
6.7%
Week 42
6.3%
--
--
6.8%
6.7%
Week 41
6.3%
--
--
6.7%
6.5%
Week 40
6.0%
--
--
6.4%
6.5%

As you can see with a week-to-week comparison this year’s mortality rate is relatively average, low even, in most weeks. The only weeks that reported lower incidents of death than in this current season is weeks 49, 48, and 47 of the 2001 flu season. All other weeks for the previous four years had higher rates of influenza related deaths.

 
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