Introduction
I have been collecting data on the safety and
effectiveness of long-term homœoprophylaxis (HP) since 1985, when
I first developed a 5 year program for the long-term prevention
of targeted infectious diseases. The Status Sheet accompanying
my current program is shown in Figure 1, and outlines the suggested
main program of remedies. In 2004 I completed a 4 year Doctoral
research program at Swinburne University examining
different aspects of this subject.
A summary of the statistical findings has been
published in Homœoprophylaxis – A Fifteen Year Clinical
Study[1].
The entire subject, including a description of the nature of the
infectious diseases under consideration, the risks and benefits
of both vaccination and homeoprophylaxis, and a balanced comparison
of the two methods, is covered in detail in Vaccination &
Homeoprophylaxis? A Review of Risks and Alternatives, 6th
ed[2].
The purpose of this article is to share the major findings of
the long-term research with readers.
A Summary of Findings
There have been a range of statistical studies
into the short-term efficacy of HP since 1907. These are summarized
in Table 1, as well as the results of my two published long-term
studies.
A more detailed summary of my findings is shown
in Table 2. The data is based on questionnaire responses from
parents whose children used my HP program. Each response covered
one year of a child’s life. Some parents returned questionnaires
over 6 years, and some only for the first year of the program.
Fifteen data groups were divided into three groups of five, based
on slight differences in the HP programs used. The third group
(Series 11-15) was studied in greater detail in order to validate
the findings of the earlier Series. Seven different tests were
performed on Series 11-15 data. These tests, and the results,
are shown in Table 3.
The overall effectiveness of the long-term
program was 90.4%. The tests shown
in Table 3 further validated the findings of effectiveness.
The long-term safety of my long-term HP program
was firstly tested by examining comments by parents of children
using the program regarding the general health of their child.
The comments were 92.3% positive, and 7.7% negative. Further,
the data showed a per-dose rate of reactions to medicines in the
program of less than 2%. Further analysis showed that the reactions
were typically mild and brief[3].
Long-term safety, in children aged 4-14 years,
was further tested by comparing (i) the rates of certain chronic
conditions such as asthma, eczema, ear/hearing problems, allergies
and behavioral problems, with (ii) different types of disease
prevention, including vaccination, HP, general/constitutional
prevention and no prevention at all. The results are shown in
Table 4. They clearly indicate that long-term safety of HP was
high, using the incidence of the targeted chronic illness as markers
of overall wellness.
Finally, the new research showed that not all
HP programs yield comparable results[4].
There is not an uniquely “correct” long-term HP program. However
the onus is on programs using the protocols that are significantly
different to those covered by my research (200 – 10M potencies,
single remedies for each disease, infrequent doses of each remedy)
to demonstrate safety and effectiveness. I certainly have seen
examples of HP programs over the years that have left me wondering.
Of course, many in the homeopathic community wonder about the
whole concept of HP itself. Further research, as well as open-minded
discussion, is needed to help re-establish HP into the mainstream
of homeopathic practice. I have shown elsewhere that HP has its
roots in the practices of Hahnemann himself, as well as H.C. Allen;
C.M.F. Von Boenninghausen; J.C. Burnett; J.H. Clarke, and many
other important figures from the history of homeopathy[5]. Still,
because many homoeopaths were not taught about HP in their Colleges,
it is necessary to reconcile the apparent contradictions between
homoeopathic treatment and homoeopathic prevention. This reconciliation
has taken place in Australia over the last 15 years through vigorous
debate, and examination of actual research findings (rather than
speculation). It will benefit all when the debate is held internationally.
Conclusions
The latest results measuring the effectiveness
of my long-term HP program remain very consistent with earlier
figures, and with estimates of HP effectiveness by other authors.
The seven additional tests performed on the data reinforce the
results.
The new research measuring the long-term safety
of my HP program reinforces the fact that an appropriate HP program
is associated with an improvement in the general health of participants,
and that there is no evidence of any long-term weakening of the
vital force as a consequence of using an appropriate long-term
HP program.
Whilst this article provides a very brief summary
only of the available data, the data shows that practitioners
who wish to use an appropriate long-term HP program may do so
with great confidence, and in turn pass that on to inquiring parents.
Supporting Tables
Table
1: The Effectiveness of HP – Statistical Trials in Humans
|
Year |
Researcher* |
Numbers
of Participants |
Length
of Survey |
|
Effectiveness
% |
|
1907 |
Eaton |
2,806 |
<
1 year |
|
97.5 |
|
1950 |
Taylor-Smith |
82
(12 definitely exposed) |
<
1 year |
|
100.0 |
|
1963 |
Gutman |
385 |
<
1 year |
|
86.0 |
|
1974 |
Castro
&
Nogeira |
HP 18,000
Not HP 6,340 |
3
months |
|
86.1 |
|
1987 |
English |
694 |
2
years |
|
87.0
- 91.5 |
|
1987 |
Fox |
61 |
5
years |
|
82.0
- 95.0 |
|
1998 |
Mroninski
et al |
HP 65,826
Not HP 23,539 |
6
months
12 months |
|
95.0
91.0 |
|
1997 |
Golden |
593 children
1,305 questionnaires |
10
years |
|
88.8 |
|
2004 |
Golden |
1,159 children
2,342 questionnaires |
15
years |
|
90.4 |
* References for these studies may be found
in Vaccination and Homeoprophylaxis– A Review of Risks and
Alternatives, 6th edition[5]
Table
2 Summary of Results of a Fifteen Year Study into Long-Term Homeoprophylaxis
|
Measures
of Reactions & Effectiveness, After Follow-Up
Surveys |
Data Series |
|
Series 1-5 |
Series 6-10 |
Series 11-15 |
|
Totals |
|
Total Responses |
708 |
817 |
817 |
|
2342 |
|
1. Previously vaccinated |
73 |
102 |
110 |
|
285 |
|
10.3% |
12.5% |
13.5% |
|
12.2% |
|
2. Definite reactions to remedies
Reactions per person
Reactions per dose (est.) |
50 |
83 |
82 |
|
215 |
|
7.1% |
10.2% |
10.0% |
|
9.2% |
|
1.2% |
1.7% |
1.7% |
|
1.5% |
|
3. Definitely suffered from diseases
covered
by the main program (a measure
of failure) |
18 |
11 |
11 |
|
40 |
|
2.5% |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
1.7% |
|
4. Definitely exposed to diseases
covered by the main program |
177 |
127 |
113 |
|
417 |
|
25.0% |
15.5% |
13.8% |
|
17.8% |
|
5. Definitely suffering diseases,
after
definite exposure and after taking
the
appropriate remedy (a measure of
failure) |
18/177 |
11/127 |
11/113 |
|
40/417 |
|
10.2% |
8.7% |
9.7% |
|
9.6% |
|
6. Definitely not suffering diseases,
after
definite exposure and after taking
appropriate remedy (a measure of
success) |
159/177 |
116/127 |
102/113 |
|
377/417 |
|
89.8% |
91.3% |
90.3% |
|
90.4% |
NOTE: each response covers on year of a child’s
life.
Table
3: Tests to Validate the Measure of the Effectiveness of Long-Term
HP[6]
|
No |
Test |
Result |
|
1 |
The
accountability rate (the % of those surveyed who responded)
of the final 5-years’ data was calculated to see whether
a significant level of accountability (>70%), and thus
greater reliability of results, was achieved. |
>70%
accountability of first year responses was achieved |
|
2 |
Non-respondents
were surveyed to ensure that the questionnaires that were
received gave responses that were reflective of the entire
survey population. |
Responses
from non-respondents were consistent with respondent replies. |
|
3 |
Respondents
who reported acquisition of a disease were surveyed to verify
the accuracy of their initial report. |
High
level of accuracy of initial reports was found. |
|
4 |
Respondents
who reported exposure to a disease were surveyed to verify
the accuracy of their initial report. |
High
level of accuracy of initial reports was found. |
|
5 |
A
more detailed statistical analysis of the data was undertaken
to determine confidence limits for the figure for the efficacy
of HP. |
Confidence
limits were:
CI = 87.6%
- 93.2% (P=95%) |
|
6 |
The
accuracy of the measurements of efficacy based on notifications
of and exposure to diseases was tested by calculating the
sensitivity and specificity of the data (statistical
measures of accuracy). |
High
levels of sensitivity (disease = 90.9%, exposure
= 95.6%), and specificity (disease = 98.1%, exposure
= 99.2%). |
|
7 |
A
comparison with national disease attack rates was undertaken
to provide an effective control group against which to compare
results. |
Weighted
average national disease attack rate = 79%;
HP associated
with reduction in disease, P > 99%. |
Table
4: Additional Research Supporting the Safety of Long-Term HP[7]
| 1.
Absolute safety of HP
If the Odds Ratio < 1 for every condition
studied, then HP is not associated with a higher level of
the condition:
Odds Ratio for Asthma
= 0.12; P = 0.0004
Odds Ratio for Eczema
= 0.38; P = 0.015
Odds Ratio for Ear/hearing
= 0.92; P = 0.8
Odds Ratio for Allergies
= 0.55; P = 0.07
Odds Ratio for Behavior
= 0.45; P = 0.17
2. Relative
safety of HP
Compared to vaccination, general/constitutional
protection, or no protection at all.
Asthma - safest;
P = 0.0004
Eczema - safest;
P = 0.015
Ear/hearing - 3rd
safest; P = 0.8
Allergies - 2nd
safest; P = 0.07
Behavior - 2nd
safest; P = 0.17
(P = Chi squared
probability. Significant result if P<0.05.
Thus results for Asthma and Eczema were highly statistically
significant, the results for ear/hearing were not, and for
allergies and behavioral problems moderately significant.)
3. Accumulated parental rankings of
general health of their child
HP is associated with the highest level
of health over all rankings. |
Figure 1: Homeopathic Preventative
Program Against Infectious Diseases
STATUS SHEET[8]
Name
______________________________________. is being protected against
the following infectious diseases using high potency homeopathic
remedies. Clinical studies over 200 years indicate that this program
is comparably effective to conventional vaccines, and is non-toxic.
The following chart indicates the current program status of the
patient and has been dated and signed by the parent, and signed
by the homeopath who prepared the program.
|
Age
Recomm /Given |
Remedy |
Potency |
Remedy Label |
Date of Admin. |
Administered By |
|
1
month |
Pertussin
|
200 |
A1 |
|
|
|
2
months |
Pertussin
|
200, 200, 200 |
A1 |
|
|
|
3
months |
Pneumococcinum
|
200 |
G1 |
|
|
|
4
months |
Pneumococcinum |
200, 200, 200 |
G1 |
|
|
|
5
months |
Lathyrus
Sativus |
200 |
C1 |
|
|
|
6
months |
Lathyrus
Sativus |
200, 200, 200 |
C1 |
|
|
|
7
months |
Haemophilis
|
200 |
H1 |
|
|
|
8
months |
Haemophilis |
200, 200, 200 |
H1 |
|
|
|
9
months |
Meningococcinum |
200 |
I1 |
|
|
|
10
months |
Meningococcinum |
200, 200, 200 |
I1 |
|
|
|
11
months |
Tetanus
Tox |
200 |
B1 |
|
|
|
12
months |
Tetanus
Tox |
200, 200, 200 |
B1 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
14
months |
Pertussin
|
10M, 10M, 10M |
A3 |
|
|
|
16
months |
Pneumococcinum |
10M, 10M, 10M |
G3 |
|
|
|
18
months |
Lathyrus
Sativus |
10M, 10M, 10M |
C3 |
|
|
|
20
months |
Haemophilis
|
10M, 10M, 10M |
H3 |
|
|
|
22
months |
Meningococcinum |
10M, 10M, 10M |
I3 |
|
|
|
24
months |
Tetanus
Tox |
10M, 10M, 10M |
B3 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
26
months |
Pertussin
|
10M, 10M, 10M |
A3 |
|
|
|
30
months |
Pneumococcinum |
10M, 10M, 10M |
G3 |
|
|
|
36
months |
Lathyrus
Sativus |
10M, 10M, 10M |
C3 |
|
|
|
40
months |
Haemophilis
|
10M, 10M, 10M |
H3 |
|
|
|
44
months |
Meningococcinum |
10M, 10M, 10M |
I3 |
|
|
|
48
months |
Tetanus
Tox |
10M, 10M, 10M |
B3 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
52
months |
Pertussin
|
10M, 10M, 10M |
A3 |
|
|
|
58
months |
Pneumococcinum |
10M, 10M, 10M |
G3 |
|
|
|
64
months |
Lathyrus
Sativus |
10M, 10M, 10M |
C3 |
|
|
|
70
months |
Haemophilis
|
10M, 10M, 10M |
H3 |
|
|
|
76
months |
Meningococcinum |
10M, 10M, 10M |
I3 |
|
|
|
84
months |
Tetanus
Tox |
10M, 10M, 10M |
B3 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
Remedy-Disease Relationship: Pertussin -- Whooping Cough;
Tetanus Toxin -- Tetanus;
Haemophilis
-- Hib Influenzae; Lathyrus Sativus – Polio; Pneumococcinum
– Pneumococcal Disease; Meningococcinum - Meningococcal
Disease.